Monday, September 29, 2008

ThomWatch: Coin of realm WANTED!


ThomWatch
Public bids for coins of realm



By Thom Calandra
thomcalandra.com

TIBURON, Calif. -- Ordinary folks' demand for sovereign gold coins is creating a chain-supply demand for mintable gold strip and large ingots, making it possible that gold exploration companies' fortunes are on the verge of turning positive.

Gold coin dealers in Canada and the USA say they are seeing an uptick in demand for the coins, which many governments mint and sell to the public as legal currency. So are folks such as James Turk, an economist who owns and operates GoldMoney, an Internet service that uses gold and silver grams as spending currencies. "Our business has been growing since inception, but we have noticed an uptick recently," Turk told me Monday morning. "July and August are normally slow months, but they were near records this year." Turk says.

The quantity of the company's gold grams on deposit and stored as LBMA bars in London and Zurich increased 34 percent at the end of August vs. a year ago. Silver ounces rose 101 percent in the same time span.

The USA Mint suspended sales of its America Buffalo one-ouncer, whose sales are up 53 percent from a year ago, because of demand that put the screws to its supply of gold strip. Some nations' mints, such as Canada's, are faring better because they manaufacture their own gold strip and do not rely on outside suppliers.

More first-hand reports Monday from ThomWatch, all first hand:

  • "Demand for gold coins has risen hugely," Kilu Capital Management's Nathan Lewis in Connecticut tells me. Lewis's latest book, GOLD: THE ONCE AND FUTURE MONEY, makes a case for gold as a replacement for soverign currencies. "I note that Dennis Gartman (a popular mainstream market commentator) said he recently bought gold coins for his own possession. Probably not one or two either. I think that Jeremy Grantham -- certainly not a gold guy -- recently said he started buying, too."
  • Van Simmons, a friend who runs David Hall Rare Coins in Newport Beach, Calif., tells me Monday: "I haven't seen an uptick per-say due to the shortage, I have seen an uptick due to the price of gold being so volatile, If gold goes down everyone decides to wait, If it has a big day I get tons of calls." Simmons also says, "The main shortage has been in the supplies of silver and platinum."
  • Bart Kitner, who is president of Canada's gold processor and sales company Kitco Inc., tells me, "The demand for coins is unprecedented. Its hard to say by how much, but I've never seen this situation before. One-ounce gold coins are not hard to come by, but all the one-ounce silvers that are being made are all being shipped to fill back orders from weeks ago."

Lewis, the author and money manager, says large buyers of bullion are boosting prices for precious metals and the premiums that gold and silver coins can command in a rising market. "The London market is the world's most important market for institution-size gold bullion ingots. There is an AM fix and a PM fix. Basically, all the buyers and sellers get together twice a day. The PM fix is the more important one. Recently, there have been big spikes on the PM fix, suggesting major demand for 400-ounce ingots."

My ingot basket just got in. Rising demand for coins and manufactured bars of gold (and silver) will boost prospects for actual suppliers of the product as well as verifiable miners. The cream of the crop almost surely will benefit first. Virginia Mines (VGQ in Toronto and VGMNF in USA) is one of them. I find the Quebec company's leadership and operations impressive. I have interviewed André Gaumond several times. Whilst I do not own shares of Virginia Mines, I know several investors who have sizeable stakes. The company, whose shares like most speculative gold miners are suffering of late, probably deserves a look.

The growing audience for coin of the realm is set against a landscape of broken lenders, rising jobless rates and the media-labeled "credit crisis" among banks, insurers and Wall Street/London derivatives developers. My friend Chris Kitze, one of the mid-1990s Internet pioneers who actually made and saved a buck, tells me Monday: "The Chinese are pissed because they sold us all the cool consumer gear and we paid for it with wampum. Now they hold almost $2 trillion worth of U.S. Treasuries and other equities and they will get crushed along with everyone else. They are too big to move into gold. The smaller guys definitely have an advantage here. Hey, I just found a slug of unused traveler's checks. I'm heading for the bank to cash them all."

THOM CALANDRA REPORT: For many investors who profited from a meteoric rise of commodities, mining, and life sciences companies, Thom Calandra acted as a beacon. Thom helped his followers find value in a quagmire of investment choices. Yet he is not a titled investment adviser. He is, more than anything, a scribe who goes where the action is. Thom co-founded CBS MarketWatch and MarketWatch.com. As the voice of Thom Calandra's StockWatch and The Calandra Report, Thom beat bushes for prospects. He fancied $300-ounce gold before that metal became an investment rage. Thom visited numerous biomedical companies, metals mines, and even a haberdashery or two, not to mention thin-crust pizza joints across the planet in his search for profit, fashion and food. Thom's latest project, the novel PABLO BY NUMBERS, was completed in summer 2008. He and Stockhouse.com this autumn will offer a subscription report with all the bells and whistles. The service is tentatively titled Thom Calandra Report. Please stay tuned AND PRUNED to Stockhouse.com and to ThomCalandra.com for more.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Everybody Must Get Hosed (These Daze)

Extra, extra!

Pinhead wiz in miracle cure
... Shmackadabum report to debut!


TIBURON, Calif. -- Hello again, voldys.

Just a touch of type to say, several months after that wondrous visit to Colombia, that yes, I stand stubborn on El Marmato and its fab promise of gold dust. Und oy! ... as Londre's east ending tuffs lip before heaving bodies into that Thames' inky drink. Oy! I got news (at the bottom of this teeter totter pyramid).

Foist my voldys are the goldies we look to hook. Which means, morts of mine, that I (we) are getting hosed. Colombia Goldfields is getting run into the dust of its own drill holes. As the shares, like nearly all gold mining shares, like all small company shares, like all speculations these daze, lose their value in many stock markets (possible exception: Brazil), the tiny Canadian company is denied its chance at rounding up the $20 million or $25 million it desires to secure part of our storied Latin American mountain, El Marmato, crawling it be with campesinos hauling sacks of mineral-laden boulders on their worthy busted backsides.

Big breath!

Finance 202 I guess: Paper no longer accepted ... we are shtupped. Unless someone saves the day. One of Colombia Goldfields' London-based directors,Edward Flood of Haywood Securities, tells me the company is still in talks with several potential backers. Flood hopes the company can come to terms with a lender or an investor interested in warrants without severely diluting current shareholders.

We (my family and I) have held onto all of the shares of Colombia Goldfields (CGDF on NAZ) that we own. The company's equity has lost about four-fifths of its value in the past six months. Welcome to the clobbered club. Am I in the outhouse or what?

I believe, though. I believe because I have seen El Ma ma Ma yo Ma! El Marmato, zee mountain some three hours' rough and ready drive from ciudad Medellin (Please see previous articles below.) That does not mean YOU need or have to believe. We here at Chez Thom still own the 60,000 shares that cost us about $50,000 oil-ier this year.

If it be any consolation, I noticed something today (actually Wednesday of this week) that I have not seen in many a day. Or year. The metal known as gold, dense and heavy element it is, fell in price, a double dollar amount, yet the gold miners' shares somehow rose. Perhaps the redemptions in mutual and hedge funds have slowed, thus putting the brakes on liquidation of natural resources companies?

Transphat: Zee companies are leading the way, not zee metal? We shall see next week.

So two updates from my Tiburon neck of the woods:
  • The novel, PABLO BY NUMBERS for les innocents among us, is complete. Please see thomcalandra.com for more. Or not. We are taking names of those who want to read the book, which awaits publication. Simply jag me at thom.calandra (at) gmail dot com. Or thom.calandra (at) yahoo dot com. Visit this page -- PABLO BY NUMBERS: The Excerpts -- to get a gourmand's taste for the SHMACKADABUM hilarity of newsletters, beady-pied stock promoters and some of the best thin-crust pizza (con gorgonzola topping) this side of Bensonhurst.

  • Beloved voldy morts oy! The udder nooze is this: I am preparing to christen a report, to be published and distributed to subscribers under the benevolent stewardship of Stockhouse.com. The idea, after ... what has it been almost five years of sabbatical? ... the idea is to paint a landscape of the globe's finest, most delectable investment/friendship/noi mangiamo opps. We'll try to produce, with delightful fanfare, what I was doing for THE CALANDRA REPORT, and I promise strict shmacka-da-bum compliance with any and all laws regarding my scrip. I also promise plenty of opportunity for everyone, including those who love fine cuisine, lots of belly laughs, yeh, und money too, always coin in the delivery I know, and I wonder more than sometimes just why. Anyway, yes, it all shall be there, and the best part (in my bookie), the first-hand reports from fields of broken corporate dreams.

  • Especially (I can add bullets anytime I want on this dangy blogger), this new thing is for those who appreciate the verve and vigor of selecting what we believe will be choices that shall make a small band of subscribers more coin than those closing scenes from "The Italian Job." Oh pray it be so! We also intend to stage a series of cozy dinners and other rendenzvous with the voldy morts who have pledged to straddle the latitude of all the longitudes we hurdle in our search for what is, err, well, what is. I hope to unveil several preview issues of the as yet unnamed report on Stockhouse.com, my glorious partner and publisher with a northern exposure (offices in New York, Toronto and Vancouver, Canada). That would be later this month and early in October. The new report in its subscription glory (as in, costs money) likely will debut in very early November. Gee, just in time for the hols! And no, I have no idea yet how much it will cost, but I do intend to lobby for a price that in the first month or two will reward voldy morts who have stuck with me through thick and thin -- and I know there are almost 620 of you loyal voldys out there clanging the bell. Any ideas for a name, besides THE CALANDRA REPORT, please ring my bell, send me a note. Take the naming load off me and those fine execs up north who are paying the bills.

Nothing more to say, for now. Good morning, beloved voldy morts.

-- Thom in Tiburon (www.thomcalandra,com) ... and river rafting/fishing/spelunker doodling with zee kids this summer '08 across historic mining tracts on Northern California's American River. South Fork? Middle Fork? Oh for the fork of it I just cannot remember.